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Posted on 2/9/26 at 10:42 am to T1gerNate
Updated ISW map of the action in Ternuvate


Posted on 2/9/26 at 10:59 am to T1gerNate
We will see what happens as the fog of war lifts but it feels like from these initial updates from Rybar and ISW that the WarMonitor3 account may have been doing a bit of pumping/engagement farming with the posts about a large breakthrough. We will see.
Posted on 2/9/26 at 11:32 am to T1gerNate
Without comparing maps over time there is nothing to see.
Posted on 2/9/26 at 11:37 am to doubleb
No you can see it if you know what you’re looking at. There is consensus between the Rybar and ISW maps which isn’t always the case and when it happens I feel comfortable accepting as pretty close to accurate the areas where they agree. Now it may very well be the Ukrainians are rolling and the mappers haven’t caught up. I accept that as a possibility. But what is clear is that the two most respected mappers show a more modest Ukrainian counterattack at this time than what is being represented by the WarMonitor3 account.
This post was edited on 2/9/26 at 11:40 am
Posted on 2/9/26 at 12:00 pm to T1gerNate
It didn’t look like much of anything was happening to me.
But all needs to be put in context.
But all needs to be put in context.
Posted on 2/9/26 at 12:17 pm to T1gerNate
quote:
Interesting. If substantiated this could explain Russia’s recent gains in Donetsk.

This post was edited on 2/9/26 at 12:25 pm
Posted on 2/9/26 at 12:24 pm to WeeWee
quote:
Ukraine going on the offensive after 2 and half years on the defensive. I wonder if Russia has been building up their defensive positions or even maintaining them during the time that they were on offense. Anyone have any links into that?
So this, most probably, is the result of the Starlink issue. With the Russians having problems with their communications it would be an ideal time for the Ukrainians to strike. There have been a number of reports of Russian friendly fire incidents so this is an excellent opportunity to take advantage of the confusion.
This post was edited on 2/9/26 at 12:30 pm
Posted on 2/9/26 at 1:40 pm to Coeur du Tigre
Russia comprises less than 5% of the global btc hash rate. Borat's country is about triple their production, for comparison.
Posted on 2/9/26 at 2:43 pm to MoarKilometers
quote:
Russia comprises less than 5% of the global btc hash rate. Borat's country is about triple their production, for comparison.
If the quoted average cost is accurate the only way forward for Russia is to either cut back on their payments by 30% or transfer the pain to other owners by stealing the needed bitcoin. By their proclivity and history we know what they will do. Besides, that's what crypto was designed for, as they well know.
So we can soon expect some nebulous system server dark web depeg Gox hack using cannibalistic trading bots to delaminate bitconnect balance sheet leaks with thinly traded terra protocol token loss leading to an algorithmic stablecoin crash. Chalk it up to the wages of irrational exuberance? Uh, no. It'll just be plain old theft like it's always been.
Posted on 2/9/26 at 3:08 pm to T1gerNate
quote:
No you can see it if you know what you’re looking at. There is consensus between the Rybar and ISW maps which isn’t always the case and when it happens I feel comfortable accepting as pretty close to accurate the areas where they agree. Now it may very well be the Ukrainians are rolling and the mappers haven’t caught up. I accept that as a possibility. But what is clear is that the two most respected mappers show a more modest Ukrainian counterattack at this time than what is being represented by the WarMonitor3 account.
They have been very.... Conservative... With updates to their maps for several years now. Give it a couple of weeks and we will know for sure what the "trend" with these counteroffensives is.
Posted on 2/9/26 at 3:47 pm to VolSquatch
Something certainly appears to be happening


Posted on 2/9/26 at 3:57 pm to T1gerNate
But Ukrainian victories in eastern Zapo may prove to be pyrrhic if coupled with continued Russian advances in Donetsk e.g.


Posted on 2/9/26 at 8:31 pm to T1gerNate
Posted on 2/9/26 at 9:51 pm to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
nebulous system server dark web depeg Gox hack using cannibalistic trading bots to delaminate bitconnect balance sheet leaks with thinly traded terra protocol token loss leading to an algorithmic stablecoin crash
This tells me a whole lot about all the other stuff you post on here.
Posted on 2/9/26 at 10:36 pm to DMAN1968
quote:
This tells me a whole lot about all the other stuff you post on here.
He does get way over his skis at times from something he read but doesn't know about.
Posted on 2/10/26 at 1:28 am to CitizenK
Data from Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs.
All according to plan and just the tip of the iceberg.
All according to plan and just the tip of the iceberg.
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If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 2/10/26 at 1:33 am to Coeur du Tigre
Speaking of great investments -


Posted on 2/10/26 at 1:38 am to Coeur du Tigre
New sanctions target overseas ports that service Shadow Fleet tankers as well.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 2/10/26 at 3:02 am to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
Bloomberg reports that Russia’s oil production declined for the second consecutive month in January, due to difficulties in selling oil amid U.S. sanctions pressure. Citing sources familiar with the matter, the outlet says that in January the aggressor state produced an average of 9.28 million barrels of oil per day.
This figure is 46,000 barrels per day lower than the already reduced level in December and nearly 300,000 barrels per day below what Russia is allowed to produce under the OPEC+ agreement.
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