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Started By
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Will we eventually see people opt out of the NFL entirely?
Posted on 1/13/26 at 5:34 pm
Posted on 1/13/26 at 5:34 pm
Let's consider this scenario. You made 10 million in NIL as an elite QB. Maybe football isn't your passion and you're more eager to move on with something related to your actual passions or field of study.
I know most of these guys don't take the education side of things seriously but certainly some people do.
Eventually I think we'll see someone that is projected to be a first or second round pick just say frick it and move on with something else.
And FWIW I know of someone that did this before the NIL days (Tommy Banks)
He told me he didn't really love the game and decided to go to medical school instead of playing for the 49ers
I know most of these guys don't take the education side of things seriously but certainly some people do.
Eventually I think we'll see someone that is projected to be a first or second round pick just say frick it and move on with something else.
And FWIW I know of someone that did this before the NIL days (Tommy Banks)
He told me he didn't really love the game and decided to go to medical school instead of playing for the 49ers
15
Posted on 1/13/26 at 5:41 pm to Powerman
I've been arguing that this is coming. When the NCAA finally removes eligibility restrictions at 5 years, you'll see players play a 6-8 year career in college, make $40M and retire.
Posted on 1/13/26 at 5:42 pm to Powerman
Yes.
The NIL money for the top players is enough to set them up well to pursue a true passion that won't end in CTE.
The NIL money for the top players is enough to set them up well to pursue a true passion that won't end in CTE.
Posted on 1/13/26 at 5:46 pm to Powerman
This is an interesting post. With the studies coming out more and more about how playing football till you can’t anymore is crippling to your long term health I can see this happening. Maybe it’s the death of the NFL and college football takes the top spot. It would take 20 years to see that but I can see it.
Posted on 1/13/26 at 5:47 pm to LSUBoo
Imagine a future where a backup QB that sees minimal action at the college level has 3 million in the bank the day he graduates. Never had an opportunity at the NFL anyway but starts life with a nest egg that most people in their 50s envy.
NIL to some extent is essentially wealth distribution.
NIL to some extent is essentially wealth distribution.
Posted on 1/13/26 at 5:51 pm to ob1pimpbobi
quote:
This is an interesting post. With the studies coming out more and more about how playing football till you can’t anymore is crippling to your long term health I can see this happening. Maybe it’s the death of the NFL and college football takes the top spot. It would take 20 years to see that but I can see it.
Another angle is the money isn't as front loaded as it used to be. The real pay day comes after the rookie contract now. Some people might see it as not worth the risk.
I think eventually for a lot of guys it will be the smart move. Whether you have 10 million or 35 million it doesn't change your life much. You can already live a life of opulence with 10 million to start.
Posted on 1/13/26 at 5:53 pm to Powerman
quote:Eh
NIL to some extent is essentially wealth distribution.
The athletes are helping keep the billion dollar industry going.
I wouldn’t describe it as what we think of wealth distribution.
Posted on 1/13/26 at 5:56 pm to ob1pimpbobi
quote:
Maybe it’s the death of the NFL and college football takes the top spot. It would take 20 years to see that but I can see it.
If this starts even remotely happening, the NFL will remove their 3 years out of high school draft eligibility rule.
Posted on 1/13/26 at 5:59 pm to ReauxlTide222
quote:
Eh
The athletes are helping keep the billion dollar industry going.
I wouldn’t describe it as what we think of wealth distribution.
I'm not disagreeing with the existence of NIL and actually support it. But since it's new it does look like a form of wealth distribution that didn't exist before. A lot of this is just pay for play by rich alumni. I think these guys know they're not getting a great ROI for the money but are too rich to care.
Look at Pepper and LSU. I know the guy personally. In his business life he doesn't want to lose one red cent. But he's more than happy to be charitable to LSU and give back because of school pride.
Posted on 1/13/26 at 6:08 pm to Powerman
quote:
NIL to some extent is essentially wealth distribution.
Yes, that’s why they are asking you for money.
Posted on 1/13/26 at 6:08 pm to ClientNumber9
quote:
I've been arguing that this is coming. When the NCAA finally removes eligibility restrictions at 5 years, you'll see players play a 6-8 year career in college, make $40M and retire.
The NFL would have to change their Draft eligibilty rules. Once you finish your 5th year of college, you must declare for the draft or be ineligible for the Draft moving forward. Something like that.
Sort of the opposite of the age rules the NBA and NFL have put on players forcing them to college for a certain number of years.
Posted on 1/13/26 at 6:17 pm to Powerman
Immediate name that comes to mind is Andrew Luck.
Posted on 1/13/26 at 6:39 pm to Powerman
I think so. $10m in a trust will pay you $250k a year forever. You may not live like a king but you can live well off that.
Posted on 1/13/26 at 6:43 pm to Powerman
Believe it or not most of these guys love football… fans equate wanting to get paid to do something you love with not really loving it… football hard… everyone of these guys start football not getting paid for it… if you make it to a level where other people and organizations make billions off of what you love doing ain’t nothing wrong with wanting to get paid for it… if the profit was suffering too bad they wouldn’t be getting paid
Posted on 1/13/26 at 7:01 pm to Powerman
quote:
he's more than happy to be charitable to LSU and give back because of school pride.
Does that mean paying athletes though? It might not for everybody
Posted on 1/13/26 at 7:05 pm to Powerman
I'd imagine this has already occurred, hasn't it? Some guy that, if he put in the effort, could probably get to a practice squad and get called up here or there and be an NFL started for half year or something. But made a couple of million by now and said I've got enough to start something. Long time ago - 20 years or so - lineman up at Rhode Island or something was graded as 3rd round or so, but had been intent when growing up on being a neurosurgeon. Said the NFL would waste 4 years of his life when the path was so long, so he skipped the draft and went to med school. Think someone could make $5M or so and say frick it. Quite often, actually.
Posted on 1/13/26 at 8:39 pm to Powerman
The NFL is the driving revenue force for every major network in this country. All major networks have deep political pockets and ties. Do not underestimate the NFL’s ability to play politics in DC. They would never allow this to happen. The second the NFL gets burned by something like this, I can guarantee you they will be on the phone with legislators to correct CFB loopholes.
Posted on 1/13/26 at 9:17 pm to Powerman
quote:
field of study.
Really?
Posted on 1/13/26 at 9:45 pm to Powerman
Posted on 1/13/26 at 10:21 pm to Powerman
Alex Rodriguez has committed to the Miami Hurricanes, but Texas Tech as a $5 million offer
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