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Message
Inflation cools more than expected in January.
Posted on 2/13/26 at 8:00 am
Posted on 2/13/26 at 8:00 am
quote:
Inflation cooled more than expected in January, data released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed. The Consumer Price Index showed that consumer prices increased 0.2% in January from a month earlier, and 2.4% on an annual basis. The report is likely to shape expectations for an already complicated Federal Reserve policy.
LINK
Posted on 2/13/26 at 8:43 am to LSUAlum2001
Many are not going to like this here
Posted on 2/13/26 at 8:46 am to LSUAlum2001
Realtors report a 'new housing crisis' as January home sales tank more than 8%
LINK
LINK
quote:
High home prices, faltering supply and weaker consumer confidence in the economy all continue to weigh on the U.S. housing market. The chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, Lawrence Yun, is calling it "a new housing crisis."
Sales of previously owned homes in January dropped a much wider-than-expected 8.4% from December to a seasonally adjusted, annualized rate of 3.91 million, according to the NAR. Sales were 4.4% lower than January 2025. That is the slowest pace since December 2023 and the biggest monthly drop since February 2022.
Posted on 2/13/26 at 8:54 am to DarthRebel
quote:
Many are not going to like this here
Rotate into growth before the fed pivot?
Posted on 2/13/26 at 8:59 am to Paul Allen
quote:
High home prices,
Everything after that is worthless in the article.
Prices on homes need to deflate at the end of the day.
Posted on 2/13/26 at 9:04 am to LSUAlum2001
quote:
and 2.4% on an annual basis.
Still too damn high! Accumulated inflation over the last five years is over 20%. We are still above target of 2% and need to go slightly below to try to balance out the inflation the last several years.
Posted on 2/13/26 at 9:04 am to DarthRebel
quote:
Many are not going to like this here ?
You are confusing this board with the poli-board. Anyone focused on making money wants good inflation numbers. I question the accuracy, but have done that for years. We have always has suspect inflation reporting. My confidence in it got worse when we started firing those that generated the reports if we didn't like the numbers.
Posted on 2/13/26 at 9:15 am to KWL85
quote:
You are confusing this board with the poli-board. Anyone focused on making money wants good inflation numbers. I question the accuracy, but have done that for years. We have always has suspect inflation reporting. My confidence in it got worse when we started firing those that generated the reports if we didn't like the numbers.
Posted on 2/13/26 at 9:34 am to Paul Allen
In other words.... prices are about to drop.
Posted on 2/13/26 at 9:52 am to LSUAlum2001
The art of relativity.
Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) by the U.S. Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics:
LINK
Inflation has cooled of recent.
...relative to recent recents.
In spirit of ignoring headline (especially political...either side) and focusing on trendlines, if I am reading the chart correctly (link), the 5-year inflation is 62% higher than 2020. Do I have that right?
Ignore the total stack. Just look at the top of the stack. Is that how this perception game works?
Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) by the U.S. Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics:
LINK
Inflation has cooled of recent.
...relative to recent recents.
In spirit of ignoring headline (especially political...either side) and focusing on trendlines, if I am reading the chart correctly (link), the 5-year inflation is 62% higher than 2020. Do I have that right?
Ignore the total stack. Just look at the top of the stack. Is that how this perception game works?
Posted on 2/13/26 at 10:01 am to Suntiger
quote:We are heading to fiscal dominance if we don't get our financial house in order. FD will be a new paradigm. It will cream average Americans.
Still too damn high! Accumulated inflation over the last five years is over 20%. We are still above target of 2% and need to go slightly below to try to balance out the inflation the last several years.
ITR, we've arrived at a point where any "cure" in the Fed's toolbox creates equal or greater problems elsewhere. In this instance, the tool the Fed is employing coincidentally stomps economic growth and exacerbates the deficit.
Short of Congress shedding impotency and doing its job, which is nowhere on the horizon, the only way out of our current deficit-debt mess is economic growth. Economic growth does not equate to inflation. Yet, Fed actions stifle growth under the premise of inflation reduction.
Further, AI advancements are inherently deflationary, and are employment threats. All reasons to lower rates.
Posted on 2/13/26 at 10:23 am to Everyday Is Saturday
quote:
I am reading the chart correctly (link), the 5-year inflation is 62% higher than 2020. Do I have that right?
Inflation is compounding, congrats. Years of high inflation up to 10% will compound with regular or low inflation and still result in huge numbers
Posted on 2/13/26 at 11:20 am to KWL85
quote:
You are confusing this board with the poli-board
I am unfortunately not. There are many here that would rather be right about their opinion, than what is right for society and the country.
Posted on 2/13/26 at 11:29 am to LSUAlum2001
A significant chunk of money talk posters were saying stuff like this in late 2025:
“I’m in industry x and we are raising price in January 2026”
“Tariffs won’t cause immediate inflation, due to supply contracts. Except the inflation surge in late 2025 and 2026”
“We got a tariff price increase notice at our plant”
It was all hot air
“I’m in industry x and we are raising price in January 2026”
“Tariffs won’t cause immediate inflation, due to supply contracts. Except the inflation surge in late 2025 and 2026”
“We got a tariff price increase notice at our plant”
It was all hot air
Posted on 2/13/26 at 11:59 am to Paul Allen
quote:Goddamn this a-hole never quits.
The chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, Lawrence Yun, is calling it "a new housing crisis.
Posted on 2/13/26 at 3:01 pm to NC_Tigah
The only real solutions are massive fiscal austerity by the government (literally never happening until the country collapses) or massive inflation to decrease the debt/GDP.
Guess which one they’re going to choose?
Guess which one they’re going to choose?
Posted on 2/13/26 at 4:07 pm to LSUAlum2001
I think the Truflation index has plummeted recently. My understanding is that it generally leads CPI by a bit.
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