Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Is this true? | Money Talk
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Is this true?

Posted on 5/4/23 at 2:47 pm
Posted by Roy Curado
Member since Jul 2021
1465 posts
Posted on 5/4/23 at 2:47 pm
"A quick reminder that if you open a Roth IRA at age 18.

And invest $500/month into the S&P 500 until age 65.

You will only spend $282,000 of your own money.

But at retirement, you'll have $5.76 Million."

LINK

Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
129863 posts
Posted on 5/4/23 at 2:49 pm to
It was true in 1970 probably
Posted by Weagle25
THE Football State.
Member since Oct 2011
47639 posts
Posted on 5/4/23 at 2:54 pm to
I mean it’s a math calculation based on an average rate of return.

I don’t know what rate of return he’s using and don’t feel like checking it but if you start investing early and assume 10% yearly returns (which is very reasonable) then yes you get insane numbers like this.

More time the better. 18 vs 30 vs 40 come out with very different numbers


S&P 500 has an average return of 9.82% since inception
This post was edited on 5/4/23 at 3:02 pm
Posted by Sterling Archer
Member since Aug 2012
8282 posts
Posted on 5/4/23 at 2:58 pm to
500 per month
50 years
9% return
$5.8M

Behold the power of compound interest
This post was edited on 5/4/23 at 2:59 pm
Posted by MrJimBeam
Member since Apr 2009
12982 posts
Posted on 5/4/23 at 2:59 pm to
If you think you're going to get 10 percent returns each year then yeah, that's what you'll get over 47 years. Just do the math:

LINK
This post was edited on 5/4/23 at 3:00 pm
Posted by texn
Pronouns: Y'All/Y'All's
Member since Nov 2019
4067 posts
Posted on 5/4/23 at 3:22 pm to
quote:


Is this true?
It was true in 1970 probably


Exactly! And $500/month in 1970 is the equivalent of $3,890 today.

And the median income of a family in 1970 was $9,870, or $822.50 per month.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82096 posts
Posted on 5/4/23 at 3:34 pm to
Yes that is true using whatever annual return the person is using. I'd bet he is using something in the 8%-10% range.

Compounding is a great thing, I would be more cautious with my analysis than assuming 8-10% annual growth though.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35378 posts
Posted on 5/4/23 at 11:43 pm to
quote:

Compounding is a great thing, I would be more cautious with my analysis than assuming 8-10% annual growth though.
I mean going back to 1972 through April of 2023 (so 51 years, 4 months) , the time-weighted rate of return on the S&P 500 is 10.34% and the money-weighted rate of return (i.e., putting X amount of deals in monthly) is 10.78%, so I don’t think 8-10% expected return is overly optimistic.
This post was edited on 5/4/23 at 11:54 pm
Posted by LSUA 75
Colfax,La.
Member since Jan 2019
4689 posts
Posted on 5/5/23 at 12:42 am to
In 1970 I was in the Navy,I only made about $200/ month before taxes.
Posted by Auburn80
Backwater, TN
Member since Nov 2017
9740 posts
Posted on 5/5/23 at 3:38 pm to
The problem is most people don’t have $500 per month to invest while they’re in college or first jobs.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23595 posts
Posted on 5/5/23 at 5:17 pm to
More than that, the problem is consistency over time. People are not machines and life gets in the way.
I myself can only contribute $250/month and honestly should probably discontinue my auto invest right now.
Had a kid last year and income isn’t great.
Posted by Joshjrn
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2008
31887 posts
Posted on 5/5/23 at 5:22 pm to
quote:

The problem is most people don’t have $500 per month to invest while they’re in college or first jobs.


I started my first year truly working, but that saw seven years lost between undergrad and law school. It's why I plan on making my future kids a deal regarding subsidizing their retirement contributions as early as possible and then weening them off from there.
Posted by TigerintheNO
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2004
44370 posts
Posted on 5/5/23 at 6:05 pm to
In 1970, you couldn't put $6K into a Roth, 40 years later you still couldn't.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23595 posts
Posted on 5/8/23 at 10:52 am to
quote:

In 1970, you couldn't put $6K into a Roth, 40 years later you still couldn't.

Limit of 6500 for 2023
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26046 posts
Posted on 5/8/23 at 12:16 pm to
quote:



I mean going back to 1972 through April of 2023 (so 51 years, 4 months) , the time-weighted rate of return on the S&P 500 is 10.34% and the money-weighted rate of return (i.e., putting X amount of deals in monthly) is 10.78%, so I don’t think 8-10% expected return is overly optimistic


How many companies in the S&P 500 in 1972 are still in the S&P 500 today?

These indexes aren't exactly reality because they constantly replace the losers with the next winners.

As a measure of top company performance, they lie.
Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
37252 posts
Posted on 5/8/23 at 1:01 pm to
Depends on whether you turned 18 in 1981 or 1929.
Posted by StringedInstruments
Member since Oct 2013
20660 posts
Posted on 5/8/23 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

But at retirement, you'll have $5.76 Million.


This will be a nice chunk of change to retire on. It will not be the same $5.76 million we know of today.

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