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Message
re: Jobs Report Released
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:49 am to Longhorn Actual
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:49 am to Longhorn Actual
quote:
You’ve been consistently wrong for the last year and your prediction-that-will-prove-true is that rates will be cut…
I havent been wrong about anything ever when it comes to rate cuts
You are the clowns who said 12mnths ago no rate cuts
I said .5% and it would be a full by year end.
And Im right again that jerome is playing politics and is too late again
This post was edited on 8/1/25 at 9:51 am
2
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:52 am to Paul Allen
quote:
It’s a great day to add funds like VOO and VUG.
If you believe this will be the bottom, just a single day of pain.
I don’t think that’s the case, at all. What good news is on the horizon? Maybe a Chinese tariff deal? Rate cut has done been baked in. Earnings season well over half complete. Inflation ticking up. Unemployment missed by 30k but the downward revisions for May and June are fricking awful. Almost went negative!
I sold a good bit this morning. I don’t think we’re anywhere near the bottom.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:57 am to LSURussian
I’m not bitter. Steve L is fine. He’s involved in a quasi pay for play relationship with the fed. It’s his job. It’s like sports reporting. I was just explaining my reason for saying he was a fed apologist. He is. It’s his job. His role on the network is to represent the fed’s point of view.
This post was edited on 8/1/25 at 9:58 am
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:05 am to SDVTiger
quote:
I havent been wrong about anything ever
So, post a link to your claim two days ago that 5.5% 30 year, fixed rate, conventional mortgages are available. I've been asking for that link since Wednesday. Let's see it...
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:11 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
This is interesting:
Seems like the mass amount of self deportation and law-enforced deportations is impacting the data
Well I guess FED and Powell will have a reason to not drop rates
oh wait 
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:16 am to mmmmmbeeer
quote:
I sold a good bit this morning.
If there is anyone to take advice from here, it is crazy leftist creammmmpie.
You should be buying and not selling.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:20 am to mmmmmbeeer
quote:im not a trader but my gut is that you probably nailed it and you’ll get a nice pullback to buy back in.
I sold a good bit this morning
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:21 am to DarthRebel
quote:
If there is anyone to take advice from here, it is crazy leftist creammmmpie. You should be buying and not selling.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:25 am to beaverfever
The issue is that the treasury will be selling t bills left and right this quarter and it is temporarily going to pull a shite load of liquidity out of the market. I think it’s going to be a rough month.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:29 am to DarthRebel
quote:
You should be buying and not selling.
Record high after record high coupled with sudden signs of economic weakness. Yes, definitely makes sense to buy in a 1.5% dip lol
You keep buying now and I’ll hop back in when we’re down another 5-8% in the coming weeks. Trump is going to try to fire JP now…let’s see how the market reacts to that.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:59 am to mmmmmbeeer
I don’t get why you are selling when you are nowhere near retirement age.
Are you someone who trades the market for supplemental income?
I guess that could explain your decision.
Otherwise, you are making the same mistake you made in April
Are you someone who trades the market for supplemental income?
I guess that could explain your decision.
Otherwise, you are making the same mistake you made in April
Posted on 8/1/25 at 11:18 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Otherwise, you are making the same mistake you made in April
Uh, I made out like a bandit in April.
Using VOO as an example, I bailed at 513 on 4/1 and got back in on 4/7 at 465.
This post was edited on 8/1/25 at 11:23 am
Posted on 8/1/25 at 11:48 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
To the other poster: illegal aliens are added to the payroll data if they pay payroll taxes and have a “fake” ss number. Around 60% of illegal alien workers are on a payroll. So yes, large amounts of self and forced deportation would show up in data
I'd love to see where you got these numbers from? Our government that is seemingly making up Jobs numbers?
You may be right about 60%, but that leaves 40% left. I'd strongly argue that anyone that is self or forced deported is likely in the 40%.
Again, lets say you are right and those people are gone. Are those not real jobs that needs filled?
Posted on 8/1/25 at 11:52 am to baldona
Show me anyone on this site that would pick strawberries in the hot sun for 14 hours a day making what those people made. 
Posted on 8/1/25 at 12:21 pm to SDVTiger
Liar, Liar, pants on fire.
In case I wasn't clear, you are a liar!
In case I wasn't clear, you are a liar!
Posted on 8/1/25 at 12:31 pm to beaverfever
Disagree. Steve L. is pretty knowledgeable.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 12:35 pm to SloaneRanger
This right here is the story. For all of you who are panicking: This is what I voted for.
______
Who panicked?
Since you voted for this, get your butt out to the fields and pick my grapes. And don't make the price go up. Grapes already cost more than they should.
______
Who panicked?
Since you voted for this, get your butt out to the fields and pick my grapes. And don't make the price go up. Grapes already cost more than they should.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 12:57 pm to VABuckeye
quote:
hot sun
Tell me you’ve never been too Watsonville or Salinas without telling me you’ve never been to Watsonville or Salinas. They were all wearing jackets this morning you ignorant frick
This post was edited on 8/1/25 at 1:01 pm
Posted on 8/1/25 at 1:43 pm to KWL85
80% chance for cuts from 37% yesterday
LINKhttps://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html
LINKhttps://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html
Posted on 8/1/25 at 1:45 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
This is interesting: Seems like the mass amount of self deportation and law-enforced deportations is impacting the data
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