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Message
re: Hurricane Season - No Current Gulf Threats
Posted on 8/28/25 at 10:51 am to Cosmo
Posted on 8/28/25 at 10:51 am to Cosmo
quote:
These weak cool fronts are nice but arent gonna keep the gulf clear
69 on the coast in Aug is not a weak cool front
Its going to be in the 50s in parts of Ark for the lows
0
Posted on 8/28/25 at 10:52 am to CollegeFBRules
quote:
You’re probably late October before your first real cool snap. At least that’s what we’ve run into the past few years.
not true
In 2022 we had one of our earliest frost on record on Oct 15th
got into the 50s in early Oct over the last few years
Posted on 8/28/25 at 11:14 am to Mr Roboto
quote:
With cold fronts reaching the gulf the best chances for a hurricane would be a homebrew from a stalled frontal boundary
You're being down-voted, but climatologically speaking you are correct.
Posted on 8/28/25 at 11:41 am to rds dc
quote:
The 2nd half of September does look suspect, as favorable tropical forcing moves across the basin
Posted on 8/28/25 at 12:28 pm to tunechi
Posted on 8/28/25 at 12:34 pm to Allthatfades
Hell, we hit 52° yesterday morning in the general Huntsville area.
Posted on 8/28/25 at 4:00 pm to Midtiger farm
quote:
Baton Rouge saw a rare and early frost in October 2022, with warnings for the area issued on October 18, 2022. This was a highly unusual event for the time of year.
October 2022 frost details
A cold front arrived in the Baton Rouge area on Monday, October 17, 2022, causing a significant temperature drop.
The first frost was forecast for the morning of Wednesday, October 19.
While the forecast was for a light frost, areas north and east of the city had a greater chance of experiencing freezing temperatures.
Context for the early 2022 frost
Atypical timing: A mid-October cold snap is considered rare for Louisiana, tapping into cold Canadian air that quickly moved south.
Record-breaking potential: The cold temperatures for October 18, 2022, had the potential to break records.
Average vs. actual dates: While the average first frost date for Baton Rouge is later in the year—typically mid-November—the October 2022 event was an unusually early occurrence.
So your rebuttal to me saying “typically / probably late October before first cool snap” was to cite an atypical, almost record breaking cold snap arriving early?
Never true again to say Baton Rouge won’t see six inches of snow every year moving forward.
Posted on 8/28/25 at 4:06 pm to CollegeFBRules
with Katrina in the headlines all week, how far inland would you evacuate for the next Katrina or Laura?
Posted on 8/28/25 at 4:07 pm to nicholastiger
quote:
with Katrina in the headlines all week, how far inland would you evacuate for the next Katrina or Laura?
I didn’t evacuate for either or those. So, right where I currently am.
Posted on 8/28/25 at 4:13 pm to nicholastiger
quote:
with Katrina in the headlines all week, how far inland would you evacuate for the next Katrina or Laura?
Just take a vacation somewhere you’d want to go anyway for 3-4 days and come back once it’s reasonably safe to do so.
Rushing back to no AC or power if you cleaned out your fridge doesn’t make a ton of sense to me unless you have a hole in the roof.
Posted on 8/29/25 at 2:37 pm to CollegeFBRules
quote:
So your rebuttal to me saying “typically / probably late October before first cool snap” was to cite an atypical, almost record breaking cold snap arriving early?
like I said in my 2nd sentence - it gets in the 50s for low almost every year before late Oct so again you saying we don't a see a good cold front until late Oct is flat out wrong
This post was edited on 8/29/25 at 2:39 pm
Posted on 8/29/25 at 3:58 pm to rds dc
This season so far
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:27 pm to rds dc
How we feeling about the current orange blob with 60% of formation through 7 days?
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:31 pm to danilo
quote:
How we feeling about the current orange blob with 60% of formation through 7 days?
As of now, Even if it does form, looks like it will be taking a hard right heading North well before USA
This post was edited on 9/1/25 at 7:32 pm
Posted on 9/1/25 at 9:22 pm to danilo
It’s going fishing
Posted on 9/1/25 at 9:38 pm to danilo
It’s going fishing might make it close to the leeward islands but should escape to sea before it gets to them. Down the road over the next 10 days or so the GFS and the Euro ensembles are trying to show a signal in the western Carribean/ Gulf. Nothing surprising as it’s the peak of the season.
Posted on 9/1/25 at 10:40 pm to deltaland
Isn’t September historically the most active month?
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