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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted on 3/2/26 at 10:33 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 3/2/26 at 10:33 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 3/2/26 at 11:38 am to VolSquatch
Depending on rotation terms, this should improve effectivness and morale. Overdue, but manpower constraints may have delayed implementation.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 3/2/26 at 11:38 am to Coeur du Tigre
Grok search on numbers of Western fighters now in Ukraine.
These form the bulk of Ukraine's Western fighters. Pledges and deliveries come from Denmark, the Netherlands, Norway, and Belgium (with some delays).Total pledged/expected: Around 85 F-16AM/BM models in the long term (from various allies).
Delivered by late 2025/early 2026: Significant portions have arrived, including full 24 from the Netherlands (completed by mid-2025), 19 committed from Denmark (multiple batches since 2024), and smaller numbers from Norway (at least 6-14 reported). Belgium's deliveries (up to 30) were partially postponed into 2026.
Operational/estimated in service: Likely in the range of 40-60+ by now, based on phased arrivals starting summer 2024, combat use reported since late 2024/early 2025, and references to them flying daily missions. Not all delivered airframes are necessarily combat-ready at once due to maintenance, pilot training, and integration.
Mirage 2000-5FFrance has supplied these for air defense and multirole roles.Initial deliveries: First batch in early 2025 (at least 6 reported operational by February 2025).
Additional: More arrived or expected in 2025-2026, with reports of 2-4 more by mid-2026 (potentially bringing total to ~8-10, though some losses like one crash have occurred).
Operational: At least 6-8 in service, with France providing ongoing support/training.
Other Western TypesNo confirmed operational Gripens, Rafales, or others yet. Major commitments exist for future deliveries (e.g., up to 150 Gripens from Sweden starting in 2026, 100 Rafales from France over a decade), but these are long-term plans or initial small batches expected later in 2026—not yet in Ukraine's active fleet.
No evidence of other types like Eurofighters or Gripens in service as of March 2026.
Overall Estimate Ukraine currently operates roughly 50-70 Western fighter jets (mostly F-16s, plus a smaller Mirage contingent). This is a notable upgrade from pre-2024 Soviet-era MiG-29/Su-27 fleets but remains far below Russia's numbers and Ukraine's long-term goal of ~250 modern fighters.These jets are used for air defense (intercepting missiles/drones), ground strikes, and deterrence, but face challenges like pilot shortages, basing vulnerabilities, and munitions limits. Numbers fluctuate with deliveries, maintenance, and losses. For the latest developments, check sources like Kyiv Post, Reuters, or official Ukrainian statements, as the situation evolves rapidly.
These form the bulk of Ukraine's Western fighters. Pledges and deliveries come from Denmark, the Netherlands, Norway, and Belgium (with some delays).Total pledged/expected: Around 85 F-16AM/BM models in the long term (from various allies).
Delivered by late 2025/early 2026: Significant portions have arrived, including full 24 from the Netherlands (completed by mid-2025), 19 committed from Denmark (multiple batches since 2024), and smaller numbers from Norway (at least 6-14 reported). Belgium's deliveries (up to 30) were partially postponed into 2026.
Operational/estimated in service: Likely in the range of 40-60+ by now, based on phased arrivals starting summer 2024, combat use reported since late 2024/early 2025, and references to them flying daily missions. Not all delivered airframes are necessarily combat-ready at once due to maintenance, pilot training, and integration.
Mirage 2000-5FFrance has supplied these for air defense and multirole roles.Initial deliveries: First batch in early 2025 (at least 6 reported operational by February 2025).
Additional: More arrived or expected in 2025-2026, with reports of 2-4 more by mid-2026 (potentially bringing total to ~8-10, though some losses like one crash have occurred).
Operational: At least 6-8 in service, with France providing ongoing support/training.
Other Western TypesNo confirmed operational Gripens, Rafales, or others yet. Major commitments exist for future deliveries (e.g., up to 150 Gripens from Sweden starting in 2026, 100 Rafales from France over a decade), but these are long-term plans or initial small batches expected later in 2026—not yet in Ukraine's active fleet.
No evidence of other types like Eurofighters or Gripens in service as of March 2026.
Overall Estimate Ukraine currently operates roughly 50-70 Western fighter jets (mostly F-16s, plus a smaller Mirage contingent). This is a notable upgrade from pre-2024 Soviet-era MiG-29/Su-27 fleets but remains far below Russia's numbers and Ukraine's long-term goal of ~250 modern fighters.These jets are used for air defense (intercepting missiles/drones), ground strikes, and deterrence, but face challenges like pilot shortages, basing vulnerabilities, and munitions limits. Numbers fluctuate with deliveries, maintenance, and losses. For the latest developments, check sources like Kyiv Post, Reuters, or official Ukrainian statements, as the situation evolves rapidly.
Posted on 3/2/26 at 11:41 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 3/2/26 at 11:48 am to Coeur du Tigre
If this proves out and this new trend continues then Russia is in big trouble.
They need to be carefully watched and they may do anything to save their asses.
They need to be carefully watched and they may do anything to save their asses.
Posted on 3/2/26 at 2:57 pm to doubleb
If there is an ounce of truth to this - and you can bet your life there is - then any Russian timetable that we talked about a couple of weeks ago is now shot to hell.
That means that there is now no way that Vlad can go to his lieutenants and show them there is progress or a plan forward. If there is anything that could be a nail in the coffin outside of the Ukrainian forces outside of the Kremlin this might be it.
There is no feasible plan ahead.
There is no country coming to help Russia or save Vlad.
There is no stopping Ukrainian growth, especially in the arms industry.
There is nothing to gain by furthering this war except death, and that will come to all who are drawn in to it.
So when does that death come to his subordinates, ie. the ones who have access to him? Because that actually might get them thinking about what it's going to take to save their own hides.....
That means that there is now no way that Vlad can go to his lieutenants and show them there is progress or a plan forward. If there is anything that could be a nail in the coffin outside of the Ukrainian forces outside of the Kremlin this might be it.
There is no feasible plan ahead.
There is no country coming to help Russia or save Vlad.
There is no stopping Ukrainian growth, especially in the arms industry.
There is nothing to gain by furthering this war except death, and that will come to all who are drawn in to it.
So when does that death come to his subordinates, ie. the ones who have access to him? Because that actually might get them thinking about what it's going to take to save their own hides.....
Posted on 3/2/26 at 3:29 pm to Leopold
quote:
There is no country coming to help Russia or save Vlad.
"Ukraine better come to the table."
Posted on 3/2/26 at 8:56 pm to Lee B
Putin could get the Nobel Peace prize! Boy would this upset Ttump.
Putin going for the prize. ISW
quote:
Key Takeaways
Russian President Vladimir Putin is attempting to posture himself as a peacemaker and potential mediator between Iran and the Gulf States amid the ongoing US-Israeli operation against Iran.
Iranian threats against vessels transiting through the Strait of Hormuz are causing significant spikes in global oil prices which, if sustained, could reverse over a year of declining Russian oil revenues.
US allies and partners in the Middle East should learn from Ukraine’s years of experience defending against almost nightly large-scale Russian missile and drone strike packages, including some comprised in large part of Iranian-origin attack drones.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky warned that Russia will shift its long-range missile and drone strikes target set to include Ukrainian logistics and water infrastructure going into Spring 2026.
Russian forces advanced in the Slovyansk and Pokrovsk directions.
Putin going for the prize. ISW
Posted on 3/2/26 at 10:05 pm to VolSquatch
Winter is over and buying to fill reserves will not happen until desired price is obtained. Meanwhile US and Australian LNG will EASILY fill the gap.
Posted on 3/3/26 at 1:39 am to CitizenK
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. quote:
This is mainly due to the Ukrainian counterattacks on the Southern Front, which managed to push the Russians out of 213 km² of territory. Most of these Ukrainian gains were made around Hulijaipole where Russia lost 192 km².
quote:
Hulijaipole direction has long been a problem for Ukraine, with Russians advancing faster here than on any other front. It was likely chosen for the counterattack because Ukraine was worried about a further deterioration of the situation on the whole Southern Frontline.
quote:
It's highly likely that instead of an operational breakthrough, the Ukrainian goal in the direction was the re-establishment of defensive lines, disruption of Russian tempo and forcing Russia to commit further reinforcements to stop the Ukrainian counterattack.
Posted on 3/3/26 at 7:04 am to Coeur du Tigre
Biden gave "super high end" weapons to Ukaine?

Posted on 3/3/26 at 7:08 am to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
Russia lost 37 sq km in February
It's hilarious that the same people who obsess over Russia's rate of advance were creaming their jeans over Ukraine gaining 37 sq km
Posted on 3/3/26 at 8:15 am to VolSquatch
quote:
It's hilarious that the same people who obsess over Russia's rate of advance were creaming their jeans over Ukraine gaining 37 sq km
You are exactly right. The guys who bragged on Russia getting 50 square miles a month and the guys who said so what have now flip flopped.
This post was edited on 3/3/26 at 9:06 am
Posted on 3/3/26 at 8:33 am to doubleb
quote:
You are exactly right. The guys who bragged on Russia getting 50 square miles a month and the guys who did so whst have now flip flopped.
100%
The cheerleaders always tell on themselves eventually
Posted on 3/3/26 at 1:13 pm to cypher
quote:
Biden gave "super high end" weapons to Ukaine?
and he didn't replace it! Luckily Trump replaced all that in his first term, before Biden was in office to give it away, if I read what he wrote correctly...
Posted on 3/3/26 at 1:16 pm to VolSquatch
Posted on 3/3/26 at 1:18 pm to cypher
Per a call I'm on with a security org that deals mostly with governmental agencies, Russia is amplifying reports of injuries and deaths to Iranian citizens.
This post was edited on 3/3/26 at 1:23 pm
Posted on 3/3/26 at 1:19 pm to Lee B
Trump really needs to find someone to write his tweets. Someone who can channel his energy and his style, but who can organize his thoughts better.
When he contradicts himself three times in two sentences, and then wanders off topic, and then brings it back to himself, before wandering off again. It really makes you wonder who is running things.
When he contradicts himself three times in two sentences, and then wanders off topic, and then brings it back to himself, before wandering off again. It really makes you wonder who is running things.
Posted on 3/3/26 at 1:28 pm to No Colors
Posted on 3/3/26 at 1:28 pm to No Colors
quote:
It really makes you wonder who is running things.
It varies week to week, most likely.
He is way too easily influenced by people both within and outside of his circle. Or just by various reports he may or may not actually read.
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