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re: Who's the #1 WR Pick this year in PPR?...
Posted on 7/31/22 at 11:07 am to DallasTiger45
Posted on 7/31/22 at 11:07 am to DallasTiger45
Fwiw, there are scenarios where Jefferson’s TDs regress. Vikings were 77% pass TD to rush TD ratio last year. NFL average is about 63%.
The Kupp regression is obvious, but other players may be hit by it too. Kupp just has so much room to work with where he can regress and still be a top 3 WR
The Kupp regression is obvious, but other players may be hit by it too. Kupp just has so much room to work with where he can regress and still be a top 3 WR
1
Posted on 7/31/22 at 11:40 am to Nole Man
I’m still on Kupp. I kept thinking last year he’d slow his roll but he never did. He may bust this year but I’d hate to be the a-hole that passed on him if he sniffs anything close to what he did last year.
Posted on 7/31/22 at 12:00 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
Robinson dealt with a hamstring last year Robinson was a 1200yd WR with Trusbisky and Nick Foles in B2B years lol
Yeah he was terrific in 2019/2020 but that was 2 years ago. Not sure when the hammy started causing him problems but he played in 12 games. Turns 29 in august this year. I just don’t buy it. Could be great but I am skeptical.
Granted I’m not on the Kupp train. I just don’t think he regresses bc of A-Rob’s success. I would rather end up with Jets
This post was edited on 7/31/22 at 12:09 pm
Posted on 7/31/22 at 1:11 pm to Mpd31
Kupp is already 29. That isn’t old
Posted on 7/31/22 at 3:25 pm to jkylejohnson
I don’t think he busts but I don’t think he’s a full tier above his peers
Posted on 7/31/22 at 3:33 pm to TigerTatorTots
quote:
he still should be the clear #1
Its not 100% clear, zero chance he repeats what he did last season.
We have yet to see what Jefferson can really do, especially if they unlock the offense in Minny.
Zimmer had them in the stone ages as far as scheme.
Posted on 7/31/22 at 4:25 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
it's not far fetched to say ARob may out score Kupp.
What kinda odds we got on this happening?
Posted on 7/31/22 at 5:42 pm to Gtothemoney
18:1
Posted on 7/31/22 at 5:43 pm to Nole Man
Jefferson. He's in a new offense and Cupp has Robinson that will take up more opportunities.
Posted on 7/31/22 at 5:58 pm to TigerTatorTots
quote:This is a really good thread IMO.
and while there will likely be a regression, he still should be the clear #1
We have many proven owners giving their take in this thread and they don't all agree. IF it was so clear cut, it wouldn't be the case.
I could argue for each and understand both sides.
Posted on 7/31/22 at 6:37 pm to DallasTiger45
quote:
The combination of woods/OBJ (two very good players in their own right) went 72/861/9 last year playing 2nd fiddle to Kupp. Had 117 targets to Kupp’s 191
I get the math, I just Woods was on a 130 catch pace, OBJ never had traction in that offense, I don’t really pay mind to him.
Robinson is better than both I think.
Kupp can still be their real football no1. He’ll lead them in catches but what can Robinson make up in yards/TDs as a guy that can get downfield and find the end zone
Posted on 7/31/22 at 7:59 pm to Lester Earl
Kupp is higher upside and higher downside IMO
Jefferson is as close to a sure thing for a top tier season as you can get
I’m taking JJ
Jefferson is as close to a sure thing for a top tier season as you can get
I’m taking JJ
Posted on 7/31/22 at 9:50 pm to Nole Man
Chase was rookie last year...I expect big things.
Posted on 8/1/22 at 10:21 am to Lester Earl
quote:Lamb will have a breakout year with Cooper and Cedric Wilson gone.
Adams
Lamb
Chase
Jefferson
Diggs
And if it weren't for Tee Higgins vulturing targets, Chase would easily be WR1, imo, over Jets and Kupp
Posted on 8/1/22 at 4:04 pm to Nole Man
I have Chase and Jefferson in a dynasty and I could have drafted Kupp but took Woods one spot ahead of him in the startup draft 3 years ago. Have Tyreek too.
Posted on 8/1/22 at 6:47 pm to Nole Man
I love JJ and chase for that matter , and I’ll probably reach for them in my FF draft…
But if Kupp is there you have to pick him first WR. He continued to be unstoppable through the SB. And he’s still under 30 and in his prime.
Just my opinion…but also either jj or chase could go off and win OPOY they have the talent
But if Kupp is there you have to pick him first WR. He continued to be unstoppable through the SB. And he’s still under 30 and in his prime.
Just my opinion…but also either jj or chase could go off and win OPOY they have the talent
Posted on 8/6/22 at 9:01 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
Percentage of targets deemed catchable to Allen Robinson per @SportsInfo_SIS
Rank is of WRs with at least 65 tgts
2015 - 58% (51st)
2016 - 70.7% (47th)
2018 - 71.0% (43rd)
2019 - 72.7% (32nd)
2020 - 75.5% (37th)
2021 - 68.7% (49th)
79% of Rams WR tgts were catchable last year
Posted on 8/6/22 at 9:07 pm to Nole Man
I think I read somewhere that if you eliminate all of Kupp’s TDs last season, he still finished top 5 wr.
That’s my answer
That’s my answer
Posted on 8/7/22 at 10:35 am to DallasTiger45
Kupp’s 2021 did not come out of nowhere. He was coming off back to back 90+ catch seasons including 1,000/10 in 2019 with Goff. He got a better QB last year and went off.
Unless you expect the Rams to implode, there is no reason to expect significant regression from Kupp.
Rams also have a surprisingly favorable schedule for a defending champion.
Minny is @ GB week 17 (fantasy championship) so u have probable weather concerns. Minny played @ GB week 17 last year also and JJ went 6/58/0.
Unless you expect the Rams to implode, there is no reason to expect significant regression from Kupp.
Rams also have a surprisingly favorable schedule for a defending champion.
Minny is @ GB week 17 (fantasy championship) so u have probable weather concerns. Minny played @ GB week 17 last year also and JJ went 6/58/0.
Posted on 8/8/22 at 9:11 am to Speedy G
anyone else concerned about Stafford's elbow? Beginning the year with an abnormal issue is really not good given his injury history.
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